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Francesco Rigoli

Predicting the future and political motivation: a computational model

Contact at: francesco.rigoli@city.ac.uk

I aim to introduce a theoretical framework about people鈥檚 motivation to be engaged in political actions. The framework is based on computational modelling, namely on an attempt to frame the problem in formal mathematical terms. The proposal is that an individual represents different states of society encompassing the past, present, and future, but also fictive societies such as utopias and counterfactual societies. These representations are proposed to be at the root of political motivation according to reference dependent cognitive processes. The talk will discuss how the model can help providing a theoretical framework for understanding why people engage in political actions related with important contemporary issues such as climate change and promotion of human rights. The talk builds upon and extends the work presented in a recent paper (Rigoli (2021) Political motivation: a referent dependent mathematical model, Journal of Social and Political Psychology).

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